Markets Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Currency 1.14 1.15 1.14 1.13 1.13
Stock Market 4742.38 5456 5404 5352 5300
Government Bond 10Y 0.70 0.85 0.89 0.93 0.98
Overview Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
GDP Growth Rate 0.40 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4
GDP Annual Growth Rate 1.40 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8
Unemployment Rate 9.10 8.6 8.5 8.1 8
Inflation Rate 1.90 2 1.7 1.5 1.6
Inflation Rate Mom -0.20 0.6 0.5 0.3 -0.3
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0.25
Interbank Rate -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.07
Balance of Trade -4052.00 -2980 -3200 -2800 -2200
Exports 43226.00 42920 41600 42600 44440
Government Debt to GDP 97.00 98.7 98.6 98.6 98.6
Government Budget -2.60 -2.6 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8
Business Confidence 105.00 105 101 105 104
Manufacturing PMI 50.80 52.7 50.9 54 54.5
Services PMI 55.10 54.5 52.9 56 55.7
Consumer Confidence 92.00 91 91 94 95
Retail Sales MoM 0.50 -0.7 0.5 -0.3 0.7
Corporate Tax Rate 33.30 33.3 33.3 33.3 33.3
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45
GDP Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
GDP Growth Rate 0.40 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4
GDP Annual Growth Rate 1.40 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8
GDP 2582.50 2660 2890 2890 2890
GDP Constant Prices 571650.00 576152 577071 579679 581940
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 131874.00 131371 131492 133004 134248
GDP per capita 42567.74 42900 43200 43200 43200
GDP per capita PPP 38605.67 39200 39700 39700 39700
GDP From Agriculture 7833.00 7980 7940 7961 7974
GDP From Construction 27897.00 28274 28308 28492 28399
GDP From Manufacturing 58011.00 59202 58682 58859 59055
GDP From Services 291386.00 291842 293176 294800 296631
GDP From Transport 23077.00 22882 23118 23020 23492
GDP From Utilities 12484.00 12840 12892 12776 12709
Labour Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Unemployment Rate 9.10 8.6 8.5 8.1 8
Employed Persons 28184.20 28200 28450 28550 28620
Unemployed Persons 3425.90 3415 3369 3362 3348
Employment Rate 65.90 65.7 65.7 65.8 65.9
Long Term Unemployment Rate 3.40 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.2
Youth Unemployment Rate 21.50 19.5 19 18.6 18.2
Labour Costs 108.20 109 109 109 110
Productivity 118.72 120 121 122 123
Job Vacancies 289.20 225 334 342 326
Wages 2998.00 3370 3440 3440 3440
Wages in Manufacturing 101.60 119 119 119 120
Minimum Wages 1498.47 1498 1598 1598 1598
Wage Growth 0.40 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4
Population 67.19 67.19 67.55 67.55 67.55
Retirement Age Women 62.00 62 62 62 62
Retirement Age Men 62.00 62 62 62 62
Initial Jobless Claims -9.70 -2.6 17.9 -7.6 -46.2
Labor Force Participation Rate 72.30 72.4 72.6 72.5 72.5
Manufacturing Payrolls 2778.20 2820 2850 2870 2880
Living Wage Family 1790.00 1780 1840 1840 1840
Living Wage Individual 1080.00 1120 1190 1190 1190
Non Farm Payrolls 25179.80 25220 25280 25340 25400
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 19427.50 19480 19530 19580 19610
Part Time Employment 4948.80 4870 4880 4880 4890
Employment Change 0.10 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5
Government Payrolls 5780.20 5740 5750 5750 5790
Full Time Employment 21849.10 22400 22500 22600 22650
Wages Low Skilled 1610.00 1690 1750 1750 1750
Wages High Skilled 3120.00 3240 3270 3270 3270
Prices Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Inflation Rate 1.90 2 1.7 1.5 1.6
Inflation Rate Mom -0.20 0.6 0.5 0.3 -0.3
Consumer Price Index CPI 103.47 104 104 105 105
Harmonised Consumer Prices 104.01 104 105 105 106
Core Consumer Prices 101.96 102 103 103 103
Core Inflation Rate 0.80 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5
Producer Prices 103.90 105 104 104 106
Producer Prices Change 3.90 2.5 2.2 1.9 2.1
Export Prices 116.70 116 116 117 117
Import Prices 103.10 101 103 104 105
Food Inflation 1.90 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.3
CPI Housing Utilities 104.70 104 105 105 106
CPI Transportation 107.70 105 106 108 108
Money Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0.25
Interbank Rate -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.07
Money Supply M1 1253994.00 1320000 1360000 1390000 1420000
Money Supply M2 2102384.00 2190000 2220000 2250000 2290000
Money Supply M3 2493932.00 2590000 2620000 2660000 2690000
Banks Balance Sheet 9079180.00 9250000 9450000 9550000 9610000
Foreign Exchange Reserves 150.03 168 150 150 150
Loans to Private Sector 2455935.00 2490000 2540000 2580000 2600000
Loan Growth 5.71 4 4 3.6 3.4
Private Debt to GDP 233.97 225 221 221 221
Central Bank Balance Sheet 1076393.00 1250000 1320000 1370000 1400000
Trade Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Balance of Trade -4052.00 -2980 -3200 -2800 -2200
Exports 43226.00 42920 41600 42600 44440
Imports 47278.00 45900 44800 45400 46640
Current Account -684.00 -620 -2200 -2100 -1720
External Debt 5157170.00 5070000 5110000 5150000 5170000
Current Account to GDP -0.80 -1.3 -1 -1 -1
Terms of Trade 113.19 115 113 112 111
Foreign Direct Investment 17327.00 3240 4950 1500 3460
Capital Flows 849.00 29100 -18700 2500 -2200
Remittances 43.00 43 45 45 45
Gold Reserves 2436.00 2436 2436 2436 2436
Terrorism Index 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96
Tourism Revenues 4296.00 2540 2620 4950 4790
Tourist Arrivals 82600.00 85200 85700 85700 85700
Crude Oil Production 16.00 15 15 15 15
Government Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Government Debt to GDP 97.00 98.7 98.6 98.6 98.6
Government Budget -2.60 -2.6 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8
Government Budget Value -86.98 -67.1 -26.8 -58 -73
Government Spending 136130.00 137257 137473 138238 138580
Government Spending to GDP 56.50 55.5 54.5 53.5 52.5
Government Revenues 254.04 316 85 170 247
Government Debt 2299.80 2340 2380 2400 2410
Fiscal Expenditure 332.41 383 112 228 320
Asylum Applications 8620.00 8400 7150 5900 6250
Taxes Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Corporate Tax Rate 33.30 33.3 33.3 33.3 33.3
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45
Sales Tax Rate 20.00 20 20 20 20
Social Security Rate 59.20 59.2 59.2 59.2 59.2
Social Security Rate For Companies 45.00 45 45 45 45
Social Security Rate For Employees 14.20 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2
Business Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Business Confidence 105.00 105 101 105 104
Manufacturing PMI 50.80 52.7 50.9 54 54.5
Services PMI 55.10 54.5 52.9 56 55.7
Composite Pmi 54.20 53.8 52.5 55.1 55.4
Industrial Production -0.70 2 2.5 2.9 2.5
Industrial Production Mom 1.20 0.4 0.5 -0.2 0.2
Manufacturing Production -1.30 2 2.4 2.5 2.2
Capacity Utilization 85.20 85.5 85.7 85.7 85.9
New Orders -12.10 -2 -6 -4 -7
Bankruptcies 328.00 320 312 310 295
Zew Economic Sentiment Index -20.00 1.5 4.4 11.5 15.7
Car Registrations 173573.00 189900 192000 186500 191500
Mining Production 3.10 3.2 3 2.7 2.6
Steel Production 1308.99 1250 1450 1500 1400
Changes In Inventories 3229.00 8200 6900 6000 7500
Competitiveness Index 78.01 78.51 78.51 78.51 78.51
Competitiveness Rank 17.00 17 17 17 17
Ease of Doing Business 32.00 30 29 29 29
Electricity Production 40836.00 55900 52700 41500 41500
Corruption Index 70.00 70 70 70 70
Corruption Rank 23.00 23 23 23 23
Consumer Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Consumer Confidence 92.00 91 91 94 95
Retail Sales MoM 0.50 -0.7 0.5 -0.3 0.7
Retail Sales YoY 2.60 4.4 4.6 4.2 3.8
Consumer Spending 308517.00 311544 312228 312721 314070
Disposable Personal Income 355091.00 364000 366000 368000 371000
Personal Savings 14.32 14.5 14.7 14.7 14.8
Households Debt To GDP 58.60 58 56 56 56
Households Debt To Income 93.29 85.8 84.6 84.6 84.6
Personal Spending 0.80 0.5 -0.4 -0.3 0.5
Bank Lending Rate 1.67 1.85 1.85 1.85 2.1
Consumer Credit 1385414.00 1450000 1490000 1520000 1550000
Gasoline Prices 1.73 1.79 1.76 1.73 1.7
Housing Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Construction Output -2.80 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.3
Housing Index 106.31 108 108 109 110
Housing Starts 35500.00 45200 39100 37100 37400
Home Ownership Rate 64.90 63.4 63.2 63.2 63.2
New Home Sales 27395.00 36100 32900 34800 32400
Construction Pmi 54.00 50.5 49.4 52.5 53.4
Building Permits 42300.00 47200 47500 46400 49900


法国 - 预测 - 经济指标 - 经济指标预测,包括长期和短期预测.